Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.459299 0.538416 0.625008 0.726543 0.842046 0.969056 1.118983
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.335015 0.439653 0.565309 0.726097 0.925026 1.161630 1.462751
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.245391 0.356209 0.500595 0.699724 0.964010 1.299168 1.752188
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.201539 0.318964 0.482880 0.723391 1.061284 1.512197 2.151050
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.167964 0.287585 0.465238 0.740554 1.146899 1.713271 2.548143
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.149099 0.273532 0.468537 0.785181 1.272314 1.976247 3.048184
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.124141 0.244373 0.443302 0.781663 1.323824 2.135179 3.409854
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.102969 0.217141 0.416212 0.770114 1.359279 2.270111 3.742752
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.086583 0.195077 0.393916 0.762363 1.397853 2.410015 4.089737
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.076358 0.182674 0.386433 0.778114 1.474962 2.613918 4.546994
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.067017 0.170131 0.376599 0.787852 1.541594 2.804178 4.992974
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058325 0.157151 0.363843 0.790173 1.594474 2.974062 5.414766
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051505 0.147240 0.356230 0.802203 1.667335 3.185270 5.923050
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044682 0.135861 0.343901 0.803503 1.720526 3.366469 6.392736
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036731 0.119735 0.318695 0.775358 1.714944 3.443363 6.687658
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033568 0.115503 0.319484 0.801467 1.816362 3.717944 7.342535
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030328 0.110284 0.317126 0.820315 1.904537 3.973274 7.976544
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029033 0.110468 0.327808 0.869093 2.057072 4.356783 8.860613
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025267 0.102149 0.315997 0.865265 2.100076 4.535682 9.379966
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021651 0.093281 0.301262 0.852659 2.122974 4.676622 9.835395
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018713 0.085822 0.288966 0.844197 2.153530 4.833351 10.327034
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017033 0.082370 0.287198 0.861399 2.241818 5.109152 11.058210
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.015325 0.078316 0.283046 0.872032 2.315966 5.360284 11.753257